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Bitcoin signals diverge: Kalshi traders put 69% odds on a $55K dip before $100K
Bitcoin has been rangebound near $65K as macro conditions appear to improve, raising talk of a potential liquidity sweep before a higher move. However, on-chain readings and elevated Open Interest still look fragile, with ETF flows staying negative and the STH MVRV leaning toward capitulation. In that context, Kalshi traders are pricing 69% odds that BTC drops to $55K first, before any push toward $100K.