As February 2026 closes with Bitcoin lingering below $65,000 after its weakest recorded start to a year, market volatility is expected to carry into March. Analysts highlight Shiba Inu, Tron, and Ethereum as particularly vulnerable, citing structural issues, regulatory and governance concerns, and deteriorating performance. With macroeconomic uncertainty and liquidation risks still weighing on sentiment, these assets may face heightened downside pressure in the coming month.

Bitcoin’s pullback has revived debate over downside risk, with estimates placing a 25% chance of a drop below $50,000 from near $63,000. Additional probabilities include 60% for a break under $60,000 and 45% for slipping beneath $55,000, while 40% suggests holding above $60,000 in the near term. At press time, BTC traded at $63,048.

Bitcoin is approaching a major bearish "death cross" on its three-day chart around February 27, with the 50-day SMA set to cross below the 200-day SMA as the asset trades near $63,158. The cryptocurrency has already dropped more than 52% from its October 2025 high above $110,000 to around $68,000, and analysts warn that historical patterns point to further potential downside toward $40,000 or even $30,000. Recent selling has pushed BTC below the $60,000 support and under both key moving averages, with broader risk-off sentiment and leverage unwinds adding pressure.

World Liberty Financial, the crypto project linked to Donald Trump and his family, reported on February 23 a coordinated attack on its USD1 stablecoin that briefly pushed it below its $1 peg. The team said attackers allegedly hacked several co-founder accounts, paid influencers to spread fear, and opened large short positions in WLFI to profit from volatility, but USD1 later rebounded to trade back near par. WLFI emphasized that USD1 remains fully backed by cash, U.S. Treasuries, and government money market funds held with BitGo and supported by a transparent mint-and-redeem mechanism.

According to Lookonchain data reviewed on February 23, Vitalik Buterin sold 1,869 ETH worth about $3.67 million over the past 48 hours. During that span, ETH slipped from $1,988 to $1,875 before trading near $1,916. Earlier in the month he offloaded 6,958 ETH, taking February sales to more than 8,800.

On February 21, Santiment reported XRP registered its steepest on-chain realized-loss spike since November 2022, with the last comparable episode 39 months ago when losses were around $1.93 billion. That capitulation was followed by a 114% eight-month rally; if history rhymes, a comparable rebound could target $2.70–$2.80, though XRP recently traded near $1.39 amid near-term weakness.

According to Finbold, Solana and Tron are viewed as two cryptocurrencies that could each approach a $100 billion market capitalization by the close of 2026. Solana currently trades near $86 with a market cap of about $49 billion, while Tron changes hands around $0.28 with a valuation close to $27 billion. Analysts cite factors such as protocol upgrades, institutional involvement, and increased on-chain usage as possible drivers of further gains.

Economist Peter Schiff has reiterated a sharply bearish view on Bitcoin, arguing that a break below the key $50,000 support zone could open the way for a decline toward $20,000. His comments came on February 19, 2026, as Bitcoin traded around $68,210 following a pullback from levels above $70,000. Schiff maintains that heightened leverage, institutional exposure, and market capitalization could amplify downside pressure if this support fails.

Ripple is set to unlock 1 billion XRP from escrow on March 1, 2026, continuing its monthly release system. In February, 1 billion XRP—valued at about $1.63 billion—was opened, with roughly 700 million re-escrowed and 300 million added to supply. By press time, XRP traded at $1.43, up 0.6% over 24 hours.