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Institutional Bitcoin demand surpasses new supply sixfold as ETFs and M2 liquidity reshape market in 2026
In 2026, institutional investors are buying about six times more Bitcoin than miners are issuing, after a sharp demand surge that began in 2024. This imbalance, together with accelerating global M2 growth and renewed spot ETF inflows, is tightening BTC's market structure around the $96,000 level. While liquidity tailwinds could support further upside, any slowdown in money supply or reversal in ETF flows may quickly weaken the current bullish momentum.
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Bitcoin’s leverage-fueled rally faces liquidation risks and shifting OG holder behavior
Bitcoin’s latest advance has been powered largely by leverage and a major short squeeze that, according to Glassnode, marked the biggest short-liquidation event among the top 500 cryptocurrencies since 10 October 2025. As OG holders slow their selling and whales hedge by rotating into shorts while retail adds leveraged longs, the rally appears more fragile and vulnerable to a corrective phase if funding cools and leverage unwinds.
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CLARITY Act vote on 15 January set to reshape U.S. crypto market structure
On Thursday, 15 January, the U.S. Senate Banking Committee is scheduled to vote on the CLARITY Act, a comprehensive crypto market structure bill. The proposal would clearly define digital commodities and digital assets, grant the CFTC control over digital commodity spot markets, and leave securities-like oversight with the SEC. If approved, it could tighten rules on market manipulation, require stronger transparency from exchanges, and potentially draw more institutional capital into U.S. crypto markets.
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Bitcoin volume share fell from 45–50% to 30–35% as altcoin activity rose
From early 2025 into early 2026, BTC's volume dominance slid from 45–50% toward 30–35%, while altcoins expanded above 55% and often 60–65%. ETH's share fluctuated between 20% and 30%. On-chain metrics show Ethereum addresses climbed from about 300 million to 370 million, but BNB Chain led with past 730 million addresses and roughly 4.4 million daily active users.
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Bitcoin shows no breakout in 2026; $126,000 Oct 2025 peak, near $90,000 by Jan 2026
Bitcoin's price action in 2026 remains range‑bound after peaking above $126,000 in October 2025 and retreating to the $90,000 area by January 2026. According to CryptoQuant and a post by analyst Darkforst on X, negative Exchange Netflows, a short‑term holder cost basis near $103,000, and losses of roughly 15% highlight ongoing stress despite support between $85,000 and $92,000.
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