XRP has returned to its 200‑week moving average near $1.41 after a sharp slide from the $3.3–$3.6 range. Price action is probing this long‑term line with flat weekly closes, indicating neither a decisive rebound nor a breakdown. A weekly close back above could preserve the supercycle view, while failure may expose the $1 area.

In February 2026, XRP/BTC is holding above the monthly Bollinger midband, according to TradingView, keeping its bull-phase intact. Following a market sell-off yesterday and a 26% single-day USD drop this week, the pair rebounded, with technicals pointing to 0.00003293 BTC — a 51% upside — after wicks rejected the 0.000018 zone and a 24-hour bounce hit 11%.

According to TradingView order book data, Bitcoin plunged by about $13,000 in a single day before reversing at a perfectly precise $60,000.00 across major exchanges. The move followed roughly $2.6 billion in liquidations and has sparked speculation about algorithmic triggers, institutional floors and psychological round-number effects around this level.

On February 5, Bitcoin's derivatives market saw a stark liquidation skew, with $118.63 million in long positions cleared against $4.53 million in shorts over a four-hour span. This 2,618% imbalance emerged as BTC tested the $69,000–$70,000 zone, highlighting a leverage-heavy market under stress and raising the risk of a deeper de-risking move toward lower price ranges.

On Wednesday, Feb. 4, Dogecoin gained against Bitcoin after reports cited Elon Musk's net worth at $850 billion, while Ethereum's February seasonality pointed to a possible rebound. Cardano rejoined the top 10 by market cap by surpassing Hyperliquid and Bitcoin Cash, and traders tracked key support and resistance levels across BTC, ETH, ADA and DOGE.

On Jan. 26 and Feb. 2, DOGE spot ETFs recorded net inflows of $246,030 and $252,530 after a 20‑day zero streak, according to SoSoValue. On Feb. 2, Ripple's RLUSD treasury minted 59,000,000 tokens on XRPL, taking supply to 1.45 billion, while Arkham logs show OKX reactivated 162,874,151,430 SHIB from cold to hot storage.

At the start of February, Binance shifted one trillion Shiba Inu tokens, valued at about $6.78 million, from cold storage to a hot wallet while SHIB trades near its weakest level in almost two months. Adam Back has publicly acknowledged that Blockstream met Jeffrey Epstein in 2014 via Joi Ito but stated there were no financial ties, and a Satoshi-era Bitcoin whale has realized roughly $128.8 million in losses after heavy ETH liquidations linked to Aave debt. Bitcoin remains under $80,000, with ETH and SHIB hovering near key support zones as market uncertainty persists.

Bitcoin entered February 2026 about $45,000 below its cycle peak after a 10.1% January slide to roughly $78,700. Historical CryptoRank data show February delivered +13.4% average and +11.6% median returns, topping most months except April and October. Strategy's 712,647 BTC stack near $73,000-$76,000 is seen as a pivotal support zone for any rebound.

On the first trading day of February, XRP's monthly close below its mid-Bollinger Band raises the risk of a drawdown toward $0.37, implying roughly 77% downside from the current level. At the same time, an early-Bitcoin-era wallet moved 99,999 ETH worth $242.7 million to Binance, coinciding with an 8.5% Ethereum price drop to around $2,411. Cardano heads into February with a historical average return of 24.4%, positioning ADA as a potential outperformer while broader crypto markets remain cautious.