Acum 9 h
Polymarket case tests where prediction-market knowledge becomes insider trading
A U.S. Army soldier placed a $32,537 wager on Polymarket at 3 a.m. on January 3, 2026, betting Nicolás Maduro would be removed within a month, and the position later paid out $436,000. He was indicted on April 24, 2026 and pleaded not guilty, highlighting that U.S. rules still lack a clear line between lawful information advantages and illegal use of material non-public information in crypto prediction markets.