Technical Analysis

Daily liquidation volumes have more than doubled compared to the previous cycle, according to a Glassnode and Fasanara report. Average long position liquidations rose from $28 million to $68 million, while short position liquidations increased from $15 million to $45 million. The shift reflects heightened leverage use across cryptocurrency derivatives markets.

Bitcoin is trading above $93,160 as two bullish chart formations converge to signal potential upside momentum. Analyst Kamile Uray notes a confirmed breakout from a Cup & Handle pattern targets $104,000 on the 4-hour chart. Crypto VIP Signal reports Bitcoin's move past $90,000 validates an Inverse Head and Shoulders reversal pattern, with $95,000 marking the next technical level.

Bitcoin is trading just above its True Market Mean cost basis, with over 25% of circulating supply now underwater. The price structure mirrors conditions seen in early 2022. Net capital inflows remain positive at $8.69 billion monthly but significantly below July's $64.3 billion peak, according to Glassnode data.

Bitcoin climbed back toward $93,000 after traders lifted December Federal Reserve rate cut probabilities into the mid-to-high 80% range and the dollar posted its ninth consecutive daily decline. Market attention has also shifted to potential successors for Fed Chair Jerome Powell, whose term concludes in May 2026, with former Coinbase advisor Kevin Hassett emerging as a leading candidate, according to Reuters.

Bitcoin's Bollinger Bandwidth indicator has dropped below 100 for the first time since November 2023, according to macro strategist Gert van Lagen. The previous occurrence preceded a four-month rally in which the cryptocurrency doubled in value. Bitcoin is currently testing resistance near $93,000 as traders monitor for potential breakout momentum.

Binance's Bitcoin reserves declined from approximately 595,000 BTC to around 572,000 BTC between November 22 and December 3, data show. Analysts attribute the decline to users moving holdings into self-custody wallets and institutional investors acquiring Bitcoin through spot ETFs, which draws assets off exchanges.

K33 Research maintains that bitcoin's current correction reflects exaggerated long-term concerns rather than immediate fundamental risks. The firm's Head of Research Vetle Lunde cited upcoming U.S. policy developments—including 401(k) crypto access by February 2026 and anticipated passage of the Clarity Act—as structural catalysts that could bolster bitcoin's medium-term trajectory. Bitcoin is experiencing its deepest drawdown since the 2022–23 period.

Bitcoin is trading above $92,000 following a mid-week recovery that has shifted market sentiment from persistent selling pressure to a more balanced structure. Analyst Michaël van de Poppe suggests BTC could target $100,000–$105,000 if the $92,000 support level holds, while a positive Coinbase premium has returned over the past week, indicating strengthening U.S. demand. Altcoins continue to lag behind Bitcoin, though this pattern has historically preceded broader market rallies.

Three companies have positioned themselves as leading candidates for S&P 500 inclusion as the index prepares its quarterly rebalance announcement Friday after market close. Ares Management Corporation oversees $596 billion in assets across credit, real estate, and private equity. Vertiv Holdings recorded 60% organic order growth in Q3 driven by data center demand, while AppLovin has surged 92% year-to-date despite facing regulatory scrutiny.

Bitcoin traded around $93,000 following the release of September import and export price indexes by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics at 8:30 AM ET. Import and export prices both showed no change for the month, with nonfuel imports up 0.8% year-over-year while fuel imports declined 4.0%. Markets are currently pricing in 88% odds of a Federal Reserve rate cut at the December 9-10 meeting, with subdued inflation pressures potentially supporting dovish policy expectations.