Technical Analysis

Bitcoin fell approximately 18% throughout November, trading below $91,000 as the month neared its close. The decline represents one of the steepest November losses in recent years, approaching the 17% drop recorded in November 2019, according to CoinGlass. Some analysts view the pullback as a market reset that has eliminated overleveraged positions.

Bitcoin fell more than 20% over the past month to reach $80,000, its lowest level in seven months. The cryptocurrency has dropped over 40% from its early October peak above $126,000, marking November as its worst monthly performance since June 2022. Institutional investors including ARK Invest continue accumulating positions despite ongoing volatility.

The Chicago Mercantile Exchange suspended futures trading for approximately 10 hours on Friday following a cooling system malfunction at its Aurora, Illinois data center operated by CyrusOne. The outage affected equities, commodities, currencies, energy, and cryptocurrency markets during the post-Thanksgiving Asia session when U.S. markets were closed and liquidity was thin. CME restored full functionality around 1:30 p.m. UTC.

Bitcoin rose sharply to the $92,300–$92,500 range following aggressive buy-side activity totaling approximately $1 billion. Buy-side slippage of 163 BTC marked the largest buy-pressure event in several days, pushing spot prices from $91,740 to $92,315 almost instantly, according to CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn. The move bypassed typical gradual price progression as market orders consumed liquidity rapidly.

Derivatives trading on lower-cap cryptocurrencies has reached levels that significantly outpace underlying valuations, creating conditions for potential cascading liquidations. Data from research firm Alpharactal shows open interest ratios climbing to dangerous thresholds, with several tokens now carrying futures exposure larger than their entire market capitalization. When open interest grows while market cap remains constrained, the price discovery mechanism shifts from organic demand to leveraged speculation.

Solana is testing resistance at $142 within a pennant formation after consolidating in recent sessions. Institutional interest has returned, with ETF inflows accelerating following the November 22 bounce from pennant support. Open Interest climbed 10% to $3.0 billion, while trading volume expanded by $7 billion over 24 hours to $48 billion, data show.

Weakening US employment indicators are reshaping expectations for economic growth, interest rate trajectories and market liquidity. These shifts are introducing fresh macro headwinds for Bitcoin and the broader digital asset sector. Traders are recalibrating risk exposure amid mixed labor signals as the unemployment rate climbs to multi-year highs and monthly payroll additions moderate from post-pandemic peaks.

Bitcoin has rallied over 12% from last week's $80,000 low but now confronts critical overhead resistance. Data show two major supply clusters at $93,000–$96,000 and $100,000–$108,000, where early-cycle buyers may sell at breakeven. A decisive break above these zones is necessary for sustained upward momentum.

On-chain data show Bitcoin whales holding at least 1,000 BTC are exhibiting divergent behavior. New Whales—those who acquired coins within the past 155 days—have been selling at a loss during the recent price decline, while Old Whales with longer holding periods have stayed largely on the sidelines.

Bitcoin reached $93,092 on Friday morning, its highest level in one week, before pulling back as it attempts to reclaim a critical resistance zone. Analyst Rekt Capital notes that BTC must close November above $93,500 to potentially finish 2025 in positive territory, according to historical Four-Year Cycle patterns. The cryptocurrency has traded below $100,000 for nearly two weeks following November corrections, after dropping to a seven-month low of $80,600 earlier.