Technical Analysis

Between March 2 and March 9, on-chain data analyzed by Axel Adler Jr. shows Bitcoin short-term holders repeatedly selling at a loss, with STH SOPR staying below 1.0 on most days. Over roughly two weeks, the cohort's supply fell from about 6.06 million BTC to 5.92 million BTC, implying around 140,000 BTC exited this group. With the realized price near $89,028 and market price around $67,000, short-term holders are facing about 24% unrealized losses and may add selling pressure on future price rebounds.

Bitcoin is trading around $68,575 while the Coinbase Premium Gap is widening, indicating stronger U.S. institutional demand. Analysts say the growing price spread between Coinbase and other major exchanges has historically aligned with bullish phases, though some warn a move toward $85,000 could still form a bull trap and precede renewed volatility.

Zcash climbed about 9% to trade above $215 after rebounding from recent lows, following Bitcoin's move back over $69,000 on Monday. The privacy-focused token is drawing interest from a US Treasury report on legitimate uses of crypto privacy tools and from a $25 million funding round for a Zcash wallet project. ZEC now faces resistance around the $290–$300 zone while traders watch key support near $175 for signs of either a breakout or renewed downside.

Ether traded back above $2,000 on Monday as derivatives exchanges saw more than 110,000 ETH in net inflows and the estimated leverage ratio hit a record high. Short liquidations of about $273 million are stacked near $2,030, with key resistance between $2,050 and $2,100 potentially guiding whether price can extend beyond $2,150. Traders are watching the $1,900–$2,000 support band, where a long-term ascending trendline has repeatedly sparked strong rebounds.

Bitcoin entered the second week of March under pressure after failing to hold the $74,000 breakout and closing below the 200-week EMA, while traders tracked escalating tensions in the Middle East and a sharp oil price spike. The ongoing supply shock around the Strait of Hormuz, combined with upcoming US CPI, PCE and GDP data, has raised concerns about inflation and Federal Reserve policy as multiple Bitcoin death crosses emerge on higher and lower time frames. Derivatives metrics and exchange inflow patterns, however, suggest whales have reduced profit-taking above $70,000 and some analysts see conditions forming for a potential relief move.

Solana traded around $83 in the early hours of Monday, March 9, 2026, with bulls trying to keep the $80–$75 support zone intact amid persistent macro and geopolitical pressure. The altcoin has dropped more than 5% over the past month, while spot ETF assets stand near $958 million after recent outflows. Technical signals such as negative funding rates and weaker open interest suggest caution, but they have previously preceded short‑term upside moves toward the $100–$120 resistance region.

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XRP has been locked in a multi‑month downtrend but is now trading around $1.34 as key moving averages and an ascending support line start to converge. The first resistance appears in the $1.40–$1.42 area, with a broader EMA cluster between $1.53 and $1.75 that could redefine the structure if broken. Volume spikes and subsequent stabilization after the early‑February sell‑off suggest the market may be shifting from capitulation toward a potential base, though the overall trend remains technically bearish.

Bitcoin USD is trading around $67,200 while its market dominance has eased to about 58%, with overall crypto capitalization above $2.38 trillion. On-chain and ETF flow metrics indicate growing interest in Ethereum, including a day when $31.6M in ETH left centralized exchanges and roughly $20M flowed into ETH ETFs, as analysts debate whether this signals a broader altcoin rotation.

According to CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost, about 43% of Bitcoin supply held in UTXOs is currently below its cost basis, leaving 57% in profit while BTC trades around $67,730. He notes this distribution sits close to a historical boundary between sustained bull markets and deeper corrective or bear phases, and ties the on-chain weakness to rising oil prices and geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz.