The Fear and Greed Index has dropped to 10, a level last seen during the Terra Luna collapse in 2022. Market strategist Timothy Peterson estimates a 50% to 75% probability of further decline before Bitcoin finds a bottom, potentially in December. Analysts remain divided on whether current conditions signal deeper correction or present an accumulation opportunity.

The Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index dropped to 10, its lowest level since February, indicating extreme panic among market participants. Bitcoin declined 6.7% over the past week, falling below $100,000 and trading beneath both its 7-day and 30-day moving averages, according to 10x Research.

Polymarket traders now assign a 68% probability that Bitcoin will close 2025 below $90,000, a sharp reversal from earlier bullish positioning. More than $54.75 million has moved through prediction contracts as liquidity pressures from technology-sector selloffs spill into digital assets. Some analysts point to rising transaction volumes near current price levels as a potential sign of stabilization.

Bitcoin found buying interest in the $92,500 to $94,000 support zone after reaching oversold conditions on short-term indicators. The attempted rebound faces pressure from institutional selling, with Bitcoin ETFs recording approximately $866 million in outflows on Thursday and $492 million on Friday. BlackRock's ETF alone accounted for $463 million of Friday's withdrawals.

Bitcoin has experienced sustained downward movement since mid-October, falling below the $100,000 threshold. Data show intensified sell-side activity on Binance, with the BTC Taker Imbalance % metric at -0.17%. Selling volume reached $1.517 billion against $1.058 billion in buying volume, signaling seller dominance in the current market structure.

Large Bitcoin movements tied to Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) sparked speculation about potential sell-offs this week. Wallet-monitoring platforms flagged transfers exceeding 43,000 BTC, prompting Michael Saylor to publicly deny any sales and confirm the company continues accumulating Bitcoin.

Harvard University held 6.8 million shares of BlackRock's IBIT spot bitcoin ETF as of September 30, representing a 257% increase from the previous quarter. The position was valued at $442.8 million on that date, making IBIT Harvard's largest disclosed U.S. investment. The holding accounts for approximately 0.6% of the university's $57 billion endowment.

An artificial intelligence model has assessed the likelihood of Bitcoin surpassing its previous record before year-end. Trading at $95,731, the cryptocurrency stands approximately 25% below its all-time high of $126,000. The AI analysis assigns a 30-35% probability to Bitcoin establishing a new peak within the remaining 1.5 months of 2025.