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Bitcoin drops under short-term cost basis after 14.94% February decline: Key metrics to watch next
Bitcoin’s February 2026 performance ended with a −14.94% monthly drop, closely echoing the near −17.39% loss recorded in February 2025. As price fell from the $100,000–$105,000 region toward the mid-$60,000 range and slid below the $89,900 Short-Term Holder Cost Basis, market stress rose, newer holders capitulated and realized losses spiked to about $4 billion–$6 billion during sharp sell-offs.
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BTC
BTC-1.35%
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Bitcoin Bottom Signal Returns As On-Chain Risk, ETF Outflows And Macro Headwinds Shape Outlook
A historically reliable Bitcoin bottom indicator has appeared again, with Swissblock data showing BTC has stayed 25 straight days in an “extreme high risk” zone, longer than the 23-day stretch before the 2023 rebound of more than 130% the following year. However, weakening demand, negative 90-day ETF flows of about negative $2.06 billion and inflation readings near 2.9%–3.4% are prompting analysts to warn that any recovery could be slower and more volatile than the surge seen in 2024. Key levels flagged include $45,000 as a pivotal area, with $30,000 and $16,000 highlighted as deeper historical supports.
BTC
BTC-1.35%
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