Technical Analysis

Research and brokerage firm K33 said bitcoin has become deeply oversold after six consecutive weekly declines and five straight down months, with its weekly relative strength index dropping to one of the lowest readings on record. Head of Research Vetle Lunde argued that extreme bearish positioning in derivatives and heavy de-risking by long-term and institutional holders have created a risk-reward profile that favors accumulation, adding the firm sees no compelling reason to sell BTC at current prices.

According to on-chain data, long-term Bitcoin holders holding coins for at least 150 days accumulated 212,000 BTC over the past 30 days, valued at more than $14 billion at current prices. During the same period, seventeen of the 25 largest Bitcoin ETF holders increased their positions, while retail traders were selling as Bitcoin traded around the mid-$60,000 range after an earlier peak of $126,200. Bitcoin ETFs also recorded $1.5 billion in inflows across five trading sessions, ending with a single-day intake of $458 million.

Crypto-linked stocks led by MicroStrategy (MSTR) surged in pre-market trading on March 4, 2026, as Bitcoin (BTC) reclaimed the $71,000 mark. With msx.com reporting strong decentralized RWA trading volume and MSTR expanding its holdings to 720,737 BTC, the sector is showing renewed resilience despite recent geopolitical volatility. Discover the key drivers behind today’s crypto-equity rally.

Bitcoin briefly dropped to $63,000 during a weekend escalation involving Israel, the U.S., and Iran, before rebounding to reclaim the $71,000 level. On-chain data points to seller exhaustion around $63,000 and negative exchange flows as coins moved off exchanges, while analysts highlight growing market resilience versus traditional assets. Key technical levels now focus on support near $65,700 and potential upside targets toward $74,000–$75,000 if Bitcoin holds above $70,500.

Bitcoin has stayed under $70,000 during its current downturn, sparking debate over where the next major price bottom will form. Crypto analyst Crypto Patel uses past market cycles to argue that BTC could still decline toward $50,000, or even below $40,000 if historical patterns repeat. After such a drawdown, he forecasts a possible multi-hundred-percent advance that could eventually drive the Bitcoin price to around $220,000.

Circle tokenized stock CRCLX on the xStock platform gained 3.8% today, mirroring strong performance in the underlying Circle Internet Group (CRCL) shares amid geopolitical tensions, analyst upgrades, and stablecoin ecosystem momentum.

On-chain data indicates that Bitcoin long-term holders have recently seen their net position change turn less negative, suggesting that months of distribution from this cohort may be slowing. These investors, who acquired their coins more than 155 days ago, began net selling when BTC weakened in the last quarter of 2025 and intensified as the price fell toward $60,000. Selling pressure is still present but has diminished as Bitcoin trades near $68,500 after a failed push toward $70,000 that triggered significant profit-taking.

Gold (XAU/USD) is staging a critical recovery on March 4, 2026, trading near $5,169 as the escalating US-Israel-Iran conflict fuels a historic safe-haven flight. With "Operation Epic Fury" threatening the Strait of Hormuz and a technical symmetrical triangle in play, discover if bullion can shatter its $5,589 all-time high or if a stronger US Dollar will cap the rally.

WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) has surged to $75.47 as of March 4, 2026, gaining over 12% since the US-Israel-Iran conflict intensified. With Iraq slashing production by 1.5 million bpd and tankers facing extreme risks in the Strait of Hormuz, analysts are warning of a potential spike toward $140 if supply routes are fully blocked. Discover the technical breakout levels and the fundamental "perfect storm" driving today's energy market.

Dogecoin has extended its pullback below $0.0950 against the US Dollar and is now trading under $0.0935 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. The price is consolidating after hitting a low near $0.0885, with resistance expected around $0.0920 and $0.0932 and key support levels seen at $0.0885, $0.0850, and $0.0820. A sustained move below $0.0820 could open the way toward $0.0800 or even $0.0750, while a recovery above $0.0950 may allow a retest of $0.0975 and $0.10.