Deloitte warns Australia faces back-to-back sub-2% GDP growth for first time since 1990-91 recession
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Deloitte forecasts Australia's GDP growth to run below 2% for two consecutive fiscal years for the first time since the early-1990s recession, with inflation near 4%, falling real wages, and unemployment rising toward 5%. The outlook heightens concerns over stagflation-like conditions and policy uncertainty as the RBA may hike again even as markets price future cuts. This mix is a near-term headwind for AUD and Australian risk assets.
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⚠️ AI سے تیار کردہ تجزیاتی سمجھ خبروں کے مواد پر مبنی ہے اور صرف معلوماتی مقاصد کے لیے فراہم کی گئی ہے۔ یہ سرمایہ کاری کا مشورہ نہیں ہے اور نہ ہی BingX کے خیالات کی نمائندگی کرتی ہے۔ سرمایہ کاری میں رسک شامل ہے۔ براہ کرم ذمہ داری سے ٹریڈ کریں۔
Deloitte Access Economics forecasts Australia’s GDP growth will fall below 2% in both this financial year and the next, the first consecutive sub-2% outcome since the 1990-91 recession. It expects inflation to linger around 4% through 2026-27, with real wages contracting and unemployment rising from 4.4% to an average 4.9% next financial year before peaking at 5% the year after. The report also sees the cash rate potentially rising once more to 4.6% in August, even as markets have shifted to pricing in cuts within the period. Western Australia is projected to grow just 0.7% this financial year, the weakest pace nationally.
