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ECB Rate-Hike Expectations Jump as Energy Shock Reshapes Eurozone Outlook in March 2026
On March 9, 2026, expectations for European Central Bank rate hikes surged as investors reacted to a sharp rise in energy prices linked to Middle East tensions. Markets now price in two 0.25-point increases this year, with the first move anticipated by July, reversing late February bets on cuts. The shift is pressuring bonds, lifting the euro and forcing investors to reassess positioning across rate-sensitive and energy-related sectors.