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BOJ Keeps Policy Rate at 0.75% as Nikkei 225 and Major Cryptos Slide
The Bank of Japan left its monetary policy setting unchanged on Tuesday, voting 6"3 to keep the uncollateralized overnight call rate at around 0.75%, as both Japanese equities and digital assets showed short-term weakness.
In its outlook, the BOJ said Japan's economic growth is expected to slow in fiscal 2026. The bank cited higher crude oil prices as a key headwind, warning of pressure on corporate profits and weaker real household income due to deteriorating trade conditions. Even so, the BOJ expects the economy to continue expanding at a moderate pace, supported by government measures, accommodative financial conditions, and resilient corporate profitability. It projects growth to pick up again from fiscal 2027 as the drag from elevated energy costs fades and income-led spending strengthens.
Inflation remains central to the outlook. The BOJ forecasts the consumer price index excluding fresh food will rise 2.5% to 3.0% in fiscal 2026, driven largely by energy and goods prices and companies' efforts to pass wage increases on to consumers. Inflation is then seen easing to 2.0% to 2.5% in 2027 and stabilizing around 2% in 2028.
Japanese stocks fell after the decision. The Nikkei 225 closed down 1.02%, weighed by losses in paper and pulp, transport, and communication. Orix Corp., Shimizu Corp., and Kajima Corp. gained more than 9%, while SoftBank Group, Nitto Denko, and Renesas Electronics dropped between 6.75% and 9.86%.
Cryptocurrencies also moved lower. Bitcoin was last at $76,641.17, down 1.36% over 24 hours but still up 0.58% on the week. Ethereum fell 1.83% on the day and 1.87% over the week. XRP posted the steepest declines, down 1.93% in 24 hours and 3.53% over seven days. BNB slipped by a smaller amount.
Related: Japanese 10Y JGB Yields Hit 2.40% Multi-Decade High, Pressuring Bitcoin and Altcoins
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