According to on-chain data, long-term Bitcoin holders holding coins for at least 150 days accumulated 212,000 BTC over the past 30 days, valued at more than $14 billion at current prices. During the same period, seventeen of the 25 largest Bitcoin ETF holders increased their positions, while retail traders were selling as Bitcoin traded around the mid-$60,000 range after an earlier peak of $126,200. Bitcoin ETFs also recorded $1.5 billion in inflows across five trading sessions, ending with a single-day intake of $458 million.

Bitcoin briefly dropped to $63,000 during a weekend escalation involving Israel, the U.S., and Iran, before rebounding to reclaim the $71,000 level. On-chain data points to seller exhaustion around $63,000 and negative exchange flows as coins moved off exchanges, while analysts highlight growing market resilience versus traditional assets. Key technical levels now focus on support near $65,700 and potential upside targets toward $74,000–$75,000 if Bitcoin holds above $70,500.

Bitcoin has stayed under $70,000 during its current downturn, sparking debate over where the next major price bottom will form. Crypto analyst Crypto Patel uses past market cycles to argue that BTC could still decline toward $50,000, or even below $40,000 if historical patterns repeat. After such a drawdown, he forecasts a possible multi-hundred-percent advance that could eventually drive the Bitcoin price to around $220,000.

On Tuesday, US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $225.2 million in net inflows as BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) attracted $322.4 million, offsetting sizable redemptions from rival products. Fidelity’s FBTC and Grayscale’s GBTC saw outflows of $89.3 million and $28.2 million, while weekly inflows for US spot Bitcoin ETFs reached $683.3 million amid ongoing market fear and geopolitical uncertainty.

On-chain data indicates that Bitcoin long-term holders have recently seen their net position change turn less negative, suggesting that months of distribution from this cohort may be slowing. These investors, who acquired their coins more than 155 days ago, began net selling when BTC weakened in the last quarter of 2025 and intensified as the price fell toward $60,000. Selling pressure is still present but has diminished as Bitcoin trades near $68,500 after a failed push toward $70,000 that triggered significant profit-taking.

MARA Holdings, a major Bitcoin mining firm, has updated its treasury policy to allow the sale of BTC from its balance sheet, marking a shift away from its previous long-term holding approach. The company currently controls 53,822 BTC valued at about $3.59 billion and cited potential liquidity needs, debt obligations in 2027, and prolonged price weakness as reasons it may sell part or all of its holdings. Analyst commentary notes MARA's estimated production cost of roughly $87,000 per BTC versus a market price near $66,690, raising questions about profitability and the potential market impact if significant reserves are liquidated.

On the All-In Podcast, Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio challenged the idea of Bitcoin as "digital gold," insisting that only gold stands as a proven global safe-haven asset. He argued that Bitcoin still lacks central bank adoption, shows strong correlation with tech stocks, and faces privacy and quantum-computing risks, while gold continues to rise in value and remains a core reserve holding. Dalio has nonetheless suggested that investors might consider a limited allocation to Bitcoin or gold as part of a broader portfolio strategy.

Bitcoin recently climbed from a base above $66,500 and briefly pushed past $68,800 before sellers capped the move around $70,100. The price is now trading above $68,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average, with a contracting triangle resistance near $68,400 suggesting a possible attempt to reclaim $69,550 and $70,000. If BTC drops below $67,400 and $66,550, it could revisit supports at $65,000 and $63,000.