Polymarket and Kalshi price bets put $16.4M on BTC staying under $75K through June 30, 2026

Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi have positioned $16.4 million around a view that bitcoin will not clear $75,000 by June 30, 2026, alongside more than $78 million in combined 2026 price-prediction volume. In Polymarket’s June market ($15.56 million volume), BTC is shown at $65,796 and the most likely rebound level is $67,500 (70%), while $100,000 is priced at under 1%. Kalshi’s June event ($869,577 volume) assigns 14% odds to BTC crossing $75,000 before June 30, 2026, and its year-end 2026 market ($25.8 million volume) centers around roughly $66,000.