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Bitwise Europe model pegs Bitcoin fair value at $224K as May swings hit $83K and $72K
Bitwise Europe says bitcoin is trading about $150,000 below a model-implied fair value of roughly $224,000, while May price action saw a move to $83,000 before sliding back to $72,000. The report links the reversal to $1.031 billion in global Bitcoin ETP outflows in the month's second half and highlights long-term holders at a record ~14.85M BTC (74.3% of supply), with $78,000–$85,000 framed as a key control zone.
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Crypto Fear & Greed Index Hits 11 on June 3, 2026 as BTC Holds Near $65,853
On June 3, 2026, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index fell to 11 as bitcoin traded near $65,853 and traders debated whether $50,000 could become the next downside target. BTC was down about 2% to 3% over 24 hours and roughly 8% to 12% over the past week, while the total crypto market slipped 2.88% to $2.27 trillion. Market focus remains on $65,000 support, with $60,000 to $61,000 near the 200-week moving average cited as the next level if that breaks.
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CryptoQuant: Short-Term Holders Sent 53,800 BTC to Exchanges at a Loss
CryptoQuant data published Tuesday shows short-term Bitcoin holders moved 53,800 BTC to exchanges within a 24-hour period, and all of it was transferred at a loss. The dataset showed zero BTC sent at a profit from this cohort, defined as holders who entered within the last 155 days. CryptoQuant said the one-day spike signals stress, while follow-through over the next 48 to 72 hours would matter for confirmation.
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Bitcoin Cycle Drawdowns: 2013–2025 Peak-to-Trough Drops, RSI, and ETF Impact
On 3 June 2026 at 17:30, a review of Bitcoin's past market cycles outlined how far BTC has fallen from peak to bottom, highlighting major drawdowns in 2013 (about 87%), 2017 (about 84%), and 2021 (about 77%). It also argued the 2025 cycle has been reshaped by spot Bitcoin ETFs approved on January 10, 2024, with trading starting January 11, alongside halving dynamics that historically influence cycle timing.
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