BTC cycle model projects 72.5% drawdown to about $35,000 by December 2026

According to the Akiba Cycle Model v2, a halving-based framework built on four past Bitcoin cycles, the next cycle low is projected near $35,000 in December 2026 after a 72.5% decline from a $126,219 peak. The model uses a 50,000-run Monte Carlo engine with cross-validation and flags the recovery leg as the widest source of uncertainty, leaving the next-halving price as a broad range.