3ชม. ที่แล้ว
Strategy Buys $255M of Bitcoin at $77,906 Each
Strategy, led by Michael Saylor, purchased $255 million worth of Bitcoin at an average price of $77,906 per coin. On Polymarket, the contract pricing the chance that Bitcoin makes a new all-time high by June 30, 2026 stood at 2.6% "YES", down from 3% the prior day.
## Market reaction
The buy was executed above Strategy's average acquisition price of $75,537, signaling a willingness to keep accumulating at higher levels. Liquidity in the June 30, 2026 all-time-high contract remains thin: 24-hour volume totaled $843 in face value, while only $26 in USDC actually traded, leaving odds vulnerable to small orders.
Across Polymarket's term structure for Bitcoin all-time-high contracts, implied probabilities rise with time: June trades at 2.6% "YES", September at 11%, and Dec. 31 at 17.5%. The sharpest step-up from June to September points to expectations of a potential catalyst in that window. The largest single move was a two-point jump to 12% in the September market, a pattern more consistent with speculative positioning than strong conviction.
## Why it matters
At $77,906 per coin, this purchase sits $2,369 above Strategy's average cost basis, underscoring continued buying rather than bargain-hunting. The June contract last priced "YES" at $0.026; a $1 settlement would imply a 38.5x return. Thin liquidity, though, makes the pricing fragile and prone to outsized swings on minimal volume.
## What to watch
Key drivers include whether other corporate or institutional buyers follow Strategy's lead, regulatory headlines, macro shifts, and signals from policymakers such as Jerome Powell or major crypto executives. Any change in Strategy's pace of accumulation, including Saylor's next purchase, would be closely watched by these markets.
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