Dollar Heads for Biggest Weekly Drop in 12 Weeks After Soft U.S. Jobs Data; Yen and Euro Gain
A softer U.S. jobs report reduced expectations for a near-term Fed hike, pushing the probability of a September move down and pulling Treasury yields lower. The resulting broad dollar weakness drove the dollar index toward its largest weekly drop in 12 weeks, while EUR and GBP firmed and JPY rebounded. Markets remain sensitive to potential Japanese FX intervention, keeping volatility risk elevated.
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A softer U.S. nonfarm jobs report cooled market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate increase in September, with the implied probability falling from 55% to 35%. The dollar index is set for its steepest weekly decline in 12 weeks. The yen rebounded sharply and the euro rose to a near two-week high, while sterling also strengthened. Japan’s finance ministry warned it could intervene in currency markets, keeping traders focused on exchange-rate volatility risks.