Kraken: Bitcoin buys below the 200-week SMA have delivered 113% median 1-year returns

Kraken's Chief Economist Thomas Perfumo said bitcoin has twice briefly traded below its 200-week simple moving average in the past two weeks before recovering by each week's end. He said historical data show buyers below that level saw median returns of more than 100% over the following year, with $63,900 near the 200-week SMA of $62,358 at the time of writing. Perfumo added that drawdowns and time-to-breakeven have typically been limited for purchases made under the long-term average.